Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.222869 0.242793 0.264015 0.288357 0.315574 0.345143 0.379799
2026-01-18 0.185536 0.213075 0.244424 0.282988 0.329476 0.384118 0.453812
2026-01-25 0.160039 0.190603 0.227045 0.274175 0.334208 0.409077 0.511036
2026-02-01 0.143085 0.175300 0.215135 0.268752 0.340184 0.433762 0.568516
2026-02-08 0.129337 0.162129 0.203897 0.262007 0.342402 0.452250 0.618331
2026-02-15 0.118872 0.151991 0.195279 0.257283 0.346004 0.471942 0.671108
2026-02-22 0.113012 0.147285 0.193218 0.260918 0.361085 0.508846 0.753561
2026-03-01 0.106244 0.140723 0.187925 0.259228 0.367841 0.533590 0.819696
2026-03-08 0.099714 0.133966 0.181746 0.255520 0.370883 0.552459 0.878122
2026-03-15 0.093230 0.126811 0.174431 0.249386 0.369354 0.563488 0.924025
2026-03-22 0.091004 0.125597 0.175616 0.256176 0.388781 0.610738 1.041110
2026-03-29 0.088454 0.123710 0.175600 0.260968 0.405210 0.654474 1.158219
2026-04-05 0.084881 0.120192 0.173037 0.261735 0.415385 0.689207 1.265482
2026-04-12 0.079970 0.114388 0.166605 0.255710 0.413298 0.701500 1.329375
2026-04-19 0.075048 0.108299 0.159351 0.247745 0.406978 0.705009 1.374965
2026-04-26 0.071214 0.103699 0.154188 0.242934 0.405887 0.718380 1.444613
2026-05-03 0.067448 0.099011 0.148611 0.236982 0.402091 0.725837 1.501792
2026-05-10 0.064322 0.095188 0.144231 0.232815 0.401261 0.739161 1.575333
2026-05-17 0.062837 0.093926 0.144006 0.236021 0.414921 0.784328 1.736909
2026-05-24 0.060581 0.091293 0.141319 0.234530 0.419101 0.809512 1.851876
2026-05-31 0.058158 0.088270 0.137807 0.231258 0.419356 0.825960 1.946562
2026-06-07 0.055521 0.084779 0.133311 0.225842 0.414705 0.830664 2.009161
2026-06-14 0.054954 0.084727 0.134777 0.231837 0.434484 0.894656 2.259548